Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.608769 27.925094 31.540641 35.777923 40.611603 45.958269 52.327124
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.416939 24.874242 30.101108 36.694077 44.805208 54.479787 66.927839
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.460341 22.679657 29.216975 38.033385 49.656158 64.514920 85.048783
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.864889 20.494299 27.992178 38.759029 53.908975 74.592822 105.191643
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.188131 19.240686 27.787437 40.819867 60.343088 88.744641 133.636114
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.441332 17.599969 26.786853 41.611682 65.178175 101.597641 162.929593
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.660949 15.612320 24.956229 40.856964 67.587139 111.326262 189.563523
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.327511 14.100232 23.614429 40.645433 70.848661 123.061376 222.057266
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.550958 13.375958 23.439072 42.363142 77.726033 142.246580 271.819233
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.954435 12.863116 23.542000 44.600442 85.992657 165.572236 334.606678
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.244189 12.024885 22.923074 45.394362 91.720815 185.311287 395.001107
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.425121 10.844496 21.468952 44.303448 93.519988 197.670308 443.028965
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.683558 9.716428 19.975796 42.960846 94.766724 209.646946 494.397388
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.163946 8.958725 19.114538 42.818442 98.659153 228.370281 566.594017
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.773335 8.411510 18.610106 43.388203 104.351926 252.598490 659.059446
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.394735 7.827250 17.927325 43.425647 108.831763 275.047331 753.442616
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.168303 7.555260 17.914056 45.091124 117.788715 310.936940 894.885512
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.889116 7.109941 17.414841 45.446417 123.454918 339.623383 1024.454114
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.561894 6.490879 16.384385 44.216261 124.574934 356.185093 1122.827357
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.310665 6.023126 15.658284 43.671302 127.536550 378.811060 1247.452616
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.181014 5.853617 15.686461 45.263072 137.191992 423.939755 1461.091645
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.084298 5.757320 15.897851 47.444207 149.213152 479.634877 1730.048248
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.939661 5.502794 15.624706 48.116998 156.648250 522.517365 1967.281379